After trusting some unfamiliar faces in Week 11 and avoiding stacks, our Week 12 DraftKings tournament lineup is taking a more traditional approach to this main slate. With 11 games available, there are plenty of good players to choose from despite two extra games on Thursday. Our lineup is choosing to spend down once again at the quarterback position, and we’re taking on a lot of value WRs in what is a good slate at the position.
Our strategy for this week was to take a more balanced spending approach. Given the trouble at the tight end position as a whole, it made sense to spend up on a slate with a clear-cut top option in a great matchup. Elsewhere, we targeted some other potential high-scoring games, including Raiders-Falcons and Panthers-Vikings, while also taking on a couple of players from teams that have massive advantages in their respective matchups (the Dolphins and the Giants). In these games, we found some nice sleepers and value plays to differentiate our lineup and give it a high ceiling.
WEEK 12 STANDARD RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
This week, we included two traditional stacks. The first one is a QB-TE stack that should have a chance to pay off big time given that they cost just $11,700 combined. Elsewhere, we went with an RB-D/ST stack with the Giants, as they should have a massive advantage over the Bengals in Week 12. We took on some calculated risks in this lineup, but they should pay off, especially given that there aren’t many bad matchups among the players that we chose. The concern is more workload and target potential.
WEEK 12 PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
This lineup is for Week 12 DraftKings main slate tournaments.
Carr had been having a quietly good season until the Raiders almost beat the Chiefs in prime time during Week 11. Now, his great season is getting a little more buzz. He has thrown 19 TDs to just three picks, and he has at least two TDs in seven-of-10 games this year. He has been as consistent as they come and from a fantasy perspective. Carr is a great spend-down option at quarterback in Week 12, as he gets to take on a Falcons defense that has allowed the most DraftKings points per game (DK PPG) to QBs at a mark of 28.9. The Falcons as a team have allowed 28 total TDs to QBs, so Carr should be able to take advantage of that. Expect a balanced game plan from the Raiders, but also expect Carr to take some successful deep shots against a beatable Falcons secondary.
So far this season, the Panthers have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to RBs at a mark of 1,123. They also rank fifth in DK PPG allowed to RBs (27.8) and are one of seven teams that has given up at least 10 rushing TDs this season. While the Panthers just did a good job of containing Adrian Peterson and Kerryon Johnson, Cook is no comparison to those two. He has 14 rushing TDs on the season, is averaging 28.7 DK PPG this year, and has two games with more than 42.2 DK points. He’s cut of a different cloth and against a weaker run defense, he should dominate. He has a high price tag, but his ceiling still exceeds it, and with the money we save on Carr, we can afford to get Cook.
In his past four games, Gallman has found the end zone five times. In those outings, he has logged no fewer than 13.2 DK points. With Devonta Freeman (ankle) out, Gallman should continue to handle a lion’s share of the touches at RB. Alfred Morris will spell him a bit, but if Gallman gets the 15-plus touches he has been averaging in his last four outings, he should do damage against the Bengals. Cincinnati doesn’t allow many TDs to RBs, but they have allowed the fourth-most rushing yardage to the position (1,206). Gallman should be given a chance to run plenty to help wear down a Bengals defense that will have to do a lot more work with their offense missing their most dynamic playmaker, Joe Burrow.
Since Tua Tagovailoa’s insertion into the starting lineup, Parker has averaged 6.3 targets per game, about 40 yards, and has scored two TDs. The numbers aren’t eye-popping, but the fact of the matter is that Tua trusts Parker in the red zone, as both of his scores have come from inside the five. Additionally, 23 of his 25 targets to Parker have come in the past three weeks, so Parker is trending upward. Now, Parker gets a favorable matchup against a Jets team that has allowed the third-most yards to wideouts this year (2,021) and the fifth-most DK points to the position (43.9). Parker had just three catches for 35 yards in his first meeting with the Jets, but he should fare better in this one, especially if he continues to get lots of looks from Tagovailoa.
Samuel has emerged as a bigger part of the Panthers offense as the season has gone along. In the past five weeks, he has scored five TDs and in four of his five outings, he has scored at least 17.3 DK points. He has gotten consistent targets from the Teddy Bridgewater/PJ Walker duo, and if he continues to get 8.2 touches per game, he should be a strong WR3 the rest of the season. In this matchup against the Vikings, Samuel’s ceiling is even higher. The Vikings have allowed 17 TDs to WRs this year, second to only the Cowboys, and are fourth in the league in DK PPG allowed to WRs (44.2). The Panthers receivers should take advantage of this, and Samuel represents a bargain compared to the others (he is $1,000 cheaper than Robby Anderson and $1,100 cheaper than D.J. Moore), so he’s a top-tier spend-down option in this lineup.
Julio Jones (hamstring) may not end up playing against the Raiders. If he can’t suit up, Gage will be a great value play. He saw a team-high 12 targets for the Falcons against Saints, a game that Jones missed most of, and caught seven passes for 58 yards. Against a Raiders defense that ranks middle-of-the-pack against wideouts, Gage should have a chance to catch quite a few passes, especially if the Raiders focus on taking away Calvin Ridley. Olamide Zaccheaus may also make a nice high-upside play if Jones is out, but we can afford to go with Gage and his higher floor here, so we’ll do it.
We had to stack someone with Derek Carr, and nobody is more appealing than Darren Waller. Waller has averaged 8.4 targets per game this season and gets to take on an Atlanta defense that has allowed 16.8 DK PPG to TEs, good for most in the league. Waller should be able to post good numbers in this matchup and has had double-digit DK points in seven-of-10 games this season. Stacking him with Carr will give this lineup a ton of upside, so it’s well worth spending up at the TE position given the value available at receiver.
We’re going back to the well here. When the Colts met the Titans a couple of weeks ago on Thursday Night Football, Hines posted 28.5 DK points by rushing for 70 yards and a TD and catching five passes for 45 yards and a score. He followed up his success with an 8.3-point outing against the Packers and now will take on the Titans again. The Titans have allowed 14 total TDs to RBs this season included five through the air, which ties a career high. Hines should be the Indy back most likely to take advantage of this, and while he may not approach 30 DK points like he did two weeks ago, he should catch some passes and get going more on the ground than he did against the Packers. Jonathan Taylor figures to be higher owned than Hines, so grabbing him at a sub-$5K price seems like a good move.
The Bengals lost Joe Burrow for the season to a knee injury that included a torn ACL, MCL, and other damage. With Burrow out, the team is going to start Ryan Finley at quarterback, and his career to date has been less than stellar. In just under a half of relief of Burrow, Finley completed three-of-10 passes for 30 yards, led zero scoring drives, was sacked four times, and threw an interception. Imagine what he’ll do in a full game against a solid defense. The Giants qualify as a solid unit and fresh off a bye week, they should have a chance to pressure Finley quite a bit and force him into mistakes. Joe Mixon (foot) won’t be able to help out of the backfield either, so the Giants could hold the Bengals to very few points and limited yards when it’s all said and done.
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