Raceday focus: Best bets, inside mail for Wyong

Form analyst Matt Jones is confident of ending the day on a high note with an Annabel Neasham-trained gelding to score at Wyong.

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WYONG

BEST BET

Race 7, No. 4: STOLTZ

He’s already put together a good record and Annabel Neasham has placed him well at a track he’s undefeated on to date. He looks primed to continue that impressive record.

NEXT BEST

Race 3, No. 9: LA SAGRA

She’s been knocking on the door this time in and was enormous when second last start over 1865m after previously running over 1200m. She’s peaking now.

VALUE BET

Race 5, No. 1: MISSION LEGEND

Put a line through his first-up effort when sixth of eight. He got badly held up in the straight and should’ve been in the finish.

QUADDIE

Race 4: 1, 2, 5

Race 5: 1, 5, 6, 8

Race 6: 1, 2, 11, 15

Race 7: 3, 4, 5

Lee Magorrian teams up with his former boss Chris Waller on a couple of good chances at Wyong on Thursday. Photo: Darren England/AAP ImageSource:AAP

TRAINER TO WATCH

Mark Newnham only has two runners engaged but Mission Legend should present over the odds while Shadow Colour comes off a breakthrough win and can go on with it.

JOCKEY TO WATCH

Lee Magorrian has two good chances for Chris Waller, Leave Me Be and Canadian Spice who looks a big improver off its last run.

THE INSIDE MAIL FOR WYONG

RACE 1

Explosive Truth is set to start odds on which is risky given his record and last trial which wouldn’t give his backers a lot of confidence. He should be suited to this set up though and be hard to catch in the short straight. Leave Me Be will be better for the run first-up and she gets out to 1200m for the first time and should sit in behind the leader and look to pounce as they straighten up. The same can be said for Cinque Torri who was good enough on debut when fifth at Hawkesbury. Dethroned Unicorn battled on well just behind Cinque Torri when also on debut. Something could jump out of the ground here.

Bet: Quinella 2, 8

RACE 2

This is a pretty weak event. First Fleet likes to jump and put himself on the speed which is a positive at this venue. He’s only placed three times in 26 starts but has been racing at the provincials for a while now. Above Reserve has only had three runs so unlike her rivals she’s got to have upside and her best races ahead of her. It might be enough to win this one. Gerwig might want further but can come from off the speed and threaten late. A new stable might help too. Innate Talent begins Victoria form to this race and his new trainer and slapped the blinkers straight on.

Bet: First Fleet to win

Rachel King can land another win for Godolphin with La Sagra. Photo: Mark Evans/Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

RACE 3

Six placings from 10 starts says La Sagra has to win one soon. The blinkers go back on again and her last start second at Newcastle over 1865m was great considering she was jumping up from a 1200m race. Bedford Square has been racing great but is bred to like the wet ground and has been getting that at each run this time. She has run third at her only Good track run. Red Hot Zone put in a career best run last time and has improved with each run this time in so he’s ready to go to 2100m. So This All Day is up in grade but will stay the trip.

Bet: La Sagra to win

RACE 4

Lovetheinvasion likes to be positive in the run and she just got run down last time. She is well supported here because she’s got plenty of upside and will be looking like the winner for a long way. Spanish Fighter drops well back in grade here after running in Group 3 over the same trip last start when running on pretty well from last. A repeat of that runs makes him the winner. Squanto goes from 1200m to 1600m which is a query but he no doubt wants the trip after running in a handy enough Class 1 last start. Zoomerango will be much better second-up at this trip.

Bet: Spanish Fighter to win

RACE 5

Zorocat runs on her home track for the first time and her racing pattern says she should enjoy it. She’s run close seconds at her two runs back and if she can overcome a wide gate she’s the one to beat. She’s a very consistent type already. Mix had a kill in the bush two runs back then lost as a $2.25 chance at Newcastle last time out. He’s got the draw to tuck in behind the speed and unleash in the straight. Forget Mission Legend’s sixth first-up because he got blocked for a run on more than one occasion in the straight when it looked like he’d be challenging for the win. He’s won second-up.

Bet: Mission Legend to win

Mark Newnham (left) and Josh Parr combine with Mission Legend who looks a good chance at on Thursday. Photo: Simon Bullard/AAP ImageSource:AAP

RACE 6

Saquon bolted in here last start over the same trip but it was on a Heavy 9 track. He’s back on top of the ground today but he handles that too so expect him to be very hard to beat again with Tim Clark staying on against a field of horses who aren’t in the best form. Canadian Spice has drawn to get the perfect run after putting in an eye-catcher last time and beating Mix the start before. Atherton wasn’t bad in his latest trial and loves this track and trip and has won first-up. He’s ready to go at odds as is Shameonus.

Bet: Saquon to win

RACE 7

Shadow Colour finally broke through at start 12 last time after recording 10 minor placings prior. And it was at this track so if he gained confidence out of that win he’ll be hard to deny. Rifles is looking to bounce back off a poor run on December which forced him to be spelled but he likes racing here and flies fresh so expect him to be a contender again. Stoltz is undefeated here from two runs and gets the charm run from the gate and he wasn’t knocked about in a lead-up trial. He’s well placed here.

Bet: Stoltz to win

Originally published asWyong tips: Stoltz to maintain perfect track record

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